SmartBettors

Premier League

AFC Bournemouth

11

Full time

Manchester City

Tuesday, May 19, 2026 - …
Head to head

Last 6 matches

AFC Bournemouth1
Draws0
Manchester City5
Asian handicap — odds movement

Samples 30 · Home +0.11 · Away -0.03

AFC Bournemouth (+0.75)Manchester City (-0.75)
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

4.90

Implied 20.41%

Draw

4.50

Implied 22.22%

Away win

1.67

Implied 59.88%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

1.56

Implied 64.1%

Under 2.5

2.52

Implied 39.68%

Captured …

Match briefing
MATCHAFC Bournemouth vs Manchester City
LEAGUEEngland · Premier League · 2025/2026 · final round · matchday 37/38
KICKOFF…

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured …
Over/Under 2.5:
Over 2.5: 1.50 (implied 66.67%)
Under 2.5: 2.65 (implied 37.74%)
Full-time result:
AFC Bournemouth: 4.75 (implied 21.05%)
Draw: 4.31 (implied 23.2%)
Manchester City: 1.68 (implied 59.52%)

TEAM STRENGTH

AFC Bournemouth: 6/20 · 56 pts · GD +4 · 26 pts off leader · zone: uel
Manchester City: 2/20 · 78 pts · GD +43 · 4 pts off leader · zone: ucl

RECENT FORM

AFC Bournemouth last 5: 4W-1D-0L · trend W W D W W (oldest → newest)
Manchester City last 5: 4W-1D-0L · trend W D W W W (oldest → newest)
AFC Bournemouth avg goals scored last 10: 1.30
Manchester City avg goals scored last 10: 2.40
AFC Bournemouth avg goals conceded last 10: 0.70
Manchester City avg goals conceded last 10: 0.50
AFC Bournemouth form quality: high (overall sample 10)
Manchester City form quality: medium (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

AFC Bournemouth over 2.5 rate last 10: 50%
Manchester City over 2.5 rate last 10: 70%
AFC Bournemouth BTTS rate last 10: 50%
Manchester City BTTS rate last 10: 30%
AFC Bournemouth clean sheets last 10: 5 · failed to score: 3
Manchester City clean sheets last 10: 7 · failed to score: 0

VENUE PROFILE

AFC Bournemouth home form: 1W-4D-0L · 1.6 GF / 1.0 GA · O2.5 60% · BTTS 60%
Manchester City away form: 4W-1D-0L · 2.0 GF / 0.6 GA · O2.5 40% · BTTS 20%
AFC Bournemouth home over 2.5 rate: 60%
Manchester City away over 2.5 rate: 40%
AFC Bournemouth home BTTS rate: 60%
Manchester City away BTTS rate: 20%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 8 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 3.875
Over 2.5 rate: 88%
BTTS rate: 75%
AFC Bournemouth W-D-L vs Manchester City: 1-0-7

MOTIVATION

AFC Bournemouth: chasing UCL qualification (score 0.533)
AFC Bournemouth: chasing UCL qualification (3 pts to line)
AFC Bournemouth: defending UEL spot (+3 pts cushion)
Manchester City: chasing the title (4 pts to top)
Stakes: both sides in European qualification places — direct race for continental football

MARKET CONTEXT

AH opening → current: 0.75 → 0.75 (Δ 0, flat)
AH movement archetype: zigzag — choppy two-way line movement
Line activity: 4 changes · 30/24 snapshot hours
Largest single move: 0.75 → 1 (toward Manchester City)

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Over/Under 2.5): yes
Clear favourite (Full-time result): yes
Market leans away from form (Over/Under 2.5): no
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): no
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: yes
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: no

RISK FLAGS

None — data coverage and signals look clean

QUALITY

Season stage: final round
Season certainty: 1.00 (season fully formed)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: full
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: available (completeness 1.250)