SmartBettors

Serie A

AC Milan

10

Full time

Napoli

Sunday, February 11, 2024 -
Market movements

Pre-kickoff odds for this fixture — same timeline as Radar pattern explorer.

Market
Selection
Scanning
Closing odds

Full-time result

Home win

1.98

Implied 49.6%

Draw

3.54

Implied 27.3%

Away win

4.15

Implied 23.2%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

2.09

Implied 46.6%

Under 2.5

1.83

Implied 53.4%

Captured

Match briefing
MATCHAC Milan vs Napoli
LEAGUEItaly · Serie A · 2026/2027 · unknown · matchday 0/38
KICKOFF

ODDS

Odds from our snapshot feed · captured
Over/Under 2.5:
Over 2.5: 2.08 (implied 0.468384)
Under 2.5: 1.84 (implied 0.531915)
Full-time result:
AC Milan: 1.97 (implied 0.498256)
Draw: 3.56 (implied 0.271370)
Napoli: 4.17 (implied 0.230681)

TEAM STRENGTH

AC Milan: 5/20 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader
Napoli: 11/20 · 0 pts · GD +0 · leader

RECENT FORM

AC Milan last 5: 3W-1D-1L · trend L W W D W (oldest → newest)
Napoli last 5: 2W-2D-1L · trend D L W D W (oldest → newest)
AC Milan avg goals scored last 10: 2.50
Napoli avg goals scored last 10: 0.60
AC Milan avg goals conceded last 10: 1.20
Napoli avg goals conceded last 10: 1.60
AC Milan form quality: high (overall sample 10)
Napoli form quality: high (overall sample 10)

GOAL PROFILE

AC Milan over 2.5 rate last 10: 90%
Napoli over 2.5 rate last 10: 60%
AC Milan BTTS rate last 10: 70%
Napoli BTTS rate last 10: 30%
AC Milan clean sheets last 10: 3 · failed to score: 0
Napoli clean sheets last 10: 2 · failed to score: 7

VENUE PROFILE

AC Milan home form: 3W-1D-1L · 2.2 GF / 1.2 GA · O2.5 80% · BTTS 80%
Napoli away form: 1W-1D-3L · 0.4 GF / 1.4 GA · O2.5 40% · BTTS 20%
AC Milan home over 2.5 rate: 80%
Napoli away over 2.5 rate: 40%
AC Milan home BTTS rate: 80%
Napoli away BTTS rate: 20%

H2H

Matches analyzed: 5 (lookback 8)
Avg goals per match: 2.600
Over 2.5 rate: 60%
BTTS rate: 40%
AC Milan W-D-L vs Napoli: 2-1-2

MOTIVATION

Stakes: mid-table — little league-wide motivation for either side

MARKET CONTEXT

Asian handicap movement: no snapshots available for this bookmaker

SIGNALS

Clear favourite (Over/Under 2.5): no
Clear favourite (Full-time result): no
Market leans away from form (Over/Under 2.5): yes
Market leans away from form (Full-time result): no
Play-off fixture: no
Top vs bottom mismatch: no
Both in European spots: no
Relegation six-pointer: no
Mid-table low motivation: yes

RISK FLAGS

Asian handicap snapshots unavailable (no line-movement context)
Market disagrees with recent-form lean on: Over/Under 2.5

QUALITY

Season stage: unknown
Season certainty: 0.60 (very early season — limited baseline)
Form coverage: home full · away full
H2H coverage: full
Standings available: yes
Asian handicap snapshots: not available